{"id":454,"date":"2026-04-09T16:29:02","date_gmt":"2026-04-09T16:29:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.deepdigitalventures.com\/?p=454"},"modified":"2026-04-24T08:32:43","modified_gmt":"2026-04-24T08:32:43","slug":"cre-maturities-are-coming-due-which-banks-hold-the-most-office-loan-risk","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/banking.deepdigitalventures.com\/blog\/cre-maturities-are-coming-due-which-banks-hold-the-most-office-loan-risk\/","title":{"rendered":"CRE Maturities Are Coming Due: Which Banks Screen Highest on the Office-Risk Proxy?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Commercial real estate maturities are still moving through the system, and office remains the property type most market participants worry about. The core issue is not just current delinquency. It is refinance risk. Loans that looked manageable when rates were lower and valuations were stronger can become much harder to roll when occupancy is weaker, cash flow is thinner, and lenders are underwriting to tougher assumptions.<\/p> <p><strong>Short answer:<\/strong> this is a proxy-based ranking, not a direct office-loan ranking. Using FDIC-sourced Call Report data as of 2025-12-31, the screen covers active U.S. banks under $10 billion in assets with at least $100 million in nonfarm nonresidential real estate loans. By that office-risk proxy as a share of assets, State Bank of Texas, American First National Bank, Metropolitan Commercial Bank, United Business Bank, and Northeast Bank screen highest.<\/p> <p>That creates an obvious question for bank investors, analysts, risk teams, and executives: which banks are most exposed? The honest answer is that public regulatory data cannot tell you that perfectly. U.S. Call Reports do <strong>not<\/strong> break out office loans as a standalone category. So if you want a defensible public-data screen, you need to use an office-risk proxy rather than claim exact office exposure.<\/p> <p>For U.S. banks, the best public proxy is <strong>nonfarm nonresidential real estate loans<\/strong> reported on Call Report Schedule RC-C. That category includes office, but it also includes other nonfarm nonresidential property types. So this is not a direct office-loan ranking. It is a ranking of the banks whose balance sheets appear most exposed to the broader part of CRE where office risk usually sits.<\/p> <p>Using the local Banking Intelligence database through 2025-12-31, we screened active U.S. FDIC-sourced banks under $10 billion in assets with at least $100 million in nonfarm nonresidential real estate exposure. We then ranked them by that office-risk proxy as a percentage of total assets, because concentration usually matters more than raw dollar size when you are trying to understand who is most vulnerable to a prolonged office maturity cycle.<\/p> <h2>Key Takeaways<\/h2> <ul> <li>This is a proxy-based screen. Call Reports do not show office loans separately, so the best public office-risk proxy is nonfarm nonresidential real estate lending.<\/li> <li>The table below is a top-10 excerpt. Among 297 eligible active U.S. banks under $10 billion in assets, the top 25 by this proxy averaged 48.0% of assets in nonfarm nonresidential exposure, versus 24.3% for the full eligible universe.<\/li> <li>The top 25 also averaged 455% of capital in nonfarm nonresidential exposure, versus 234% for the broader universe.<\/li> <li>Several banks on the list still show relatively modest current stress metrics, which suggests the maturity problem is not fully visible in headline delinquency data alone.<\/li> <li>Others already show more obvious pressure through elevated NPL ratios, tighter funding, weaker earnings, or higher stressed balances inside the proxy portfolio.<\/li> <li>Data date: 2025-12-31. Last updated: 2026-04-24.<\/li> <\/ul> <h2>The Caveat That Matters<\/h2> <p>Before looking at any ranking, it is important to be explicit about the limitation. <strong>This article does not measure exact office balances or office maturities.<\/strong> It measures nonfarm nonresidential real estate loans, which is the most useful public proxy for office-related refinance risk in Call Report data.<\/p> <p>That means two things can be true at once. A bank that ranks high here may not be as office-heavy as the proxy suggests if its nonfarm nonresidential book leans toward industrial, retail, healthcare, or mixed-use properties. And a bank that ranks lower may still have meaningful office exposure if office is a large share of its nonfarm nonresidential bucket. This is a screening tool, not a substitute for loan-level diligence.<\/p> <p>Call Report Schedule RC-C splits nonfarm nonresidential into <strong>owner-occupied<\/strong> and <strong>non-owner-occupied<\/strong> sub-lines. Non-owner-occupied is the tighter office-risk read because repayment more often depends on third-party rent, refinance proceeds, or sale proceeds. Owner-occupied loans can have different credit dynamics because repayment is tied more closely to the operating cash flow of the business that uses the property.<sup>[2]<\/sup><sup>[3]<\/sup> This article uses the combined nonfarm nonresidential figure for continuity, but a second-pass review should separate the non-owner-occupied line. Excluding owner-occupied exposure can materially change the ranking at business-heavy community banks; the size of that reduction should be calculated bank by bank rather than assumed.<\/p> <h2>Why Maturities Matter More Than Simple Delinquencies<\/h2> <p>Office stress is often maturity-driven. A loan can remain current while the property is effectively trapped between old financing assumptions and new market reality. If the building has lower occupancy, weaker leasing prospects, or lower valuation support, the loan may not refinance on the same terms. That can lead to extensions, recaps, restructurings, sponsor equity injections, or eventual loss recognition.<\/p> <p>That is why public concentration still matters even when current delinquency looks manageable. A bank with a heavy office-sensitive book does not need widespread defaults today to face elevated risk. It only needs enough maturities to come due in a market where refinancing is harder. Academic work on monetary tightening, CRE distress, and bank fragility points in the same direction.<sup>[7]<\/sup><\/p> <h2>The Banks That Screen Highest On The Public Office-Risk Proxy<\/h2> <p>The names below are the top 10 excerpt from the under-$10 billion universe by combined nonfarm nonresidential real estate loans as a share of assets at 2025-12-31. Again, this is <strong>not<\/strong> a pure office ranking. It is the best public screening proxy available, and the top-25 summary statistics are discussed below.<\/p> <p><em>NPL Ratio is a bank-level nonperforming-loan ratio: loans 90+ days past due and still accruing plus nonaccrual loans, divided by total loans and leases.<\/em><\/p> <table> <thead> <tr> <th>Rank<\/th> <th>Bank<\/th> <th>State<\/th> <th>Assets<\/th> <th>Office-Risk Proxy<\/th> <th>Proxy \/ Assets<\/th> <th>Proxy \/ Capital<\/th> <th>NPL Ratio<\/th> <th>Loan \/ Deposit<\/th> <\/tr> <\/thead> <tbody> <tr><td>1<\/td><td>State Bank of Texas<\/td><td>TX<\/td><td>$2.77B<\/td><td>$2.02B<\/td><td>73.0%<\/td><td>495%<\/td><td>2.23%<\/td><td>99.9%<\/td><\/tr> <tr><td>2<\/td><td>American First National Bank<\/td><td>TX<\/td><td>$2.88B<\/td><td>$1.90B<\/td><td>65.9%<\/td><td>498%<\/td><td>1.44%<\/td><td>96.6%<\/td><\/tr> <tr><td>3<\/td><td>Metropolitan Commercial Bank<\/td><td>NY<\/td><td>$8.25B<\/td><td>$4.88B<\/td><td>59.1%<\/td><td>644%<\/td><td>1.29%<\/td><td>90.3%<\/td><\/tr> <tr><td>4<\/td><td>United Business Bank<\/td><td>CA<\/td><td>$2.58B<\/td><td>$1.45B<\/td><td>56.3%<\/td><td>498%<\/td><td>0.65%<\/td><td>92.1%<\/td><\/tr> <tr><td>5<\/td><td>Northeast Bank<\/td><td>ME<\/td><td>$4.95B<\/td><td>$2.62B<\/td><td>53.0%<\/td><td>490%<\/td><td>0.81%<\/td><td>113.3%<\/td><\/tr> <tr><td>6<\/td><td>PCB Bank<\/td><td>CA<\/td><td>$3.28B<\/td><td>$1.69B<\/td><td>51.6%<\/td><td>442%<\/td><td>0.28%<\/td><td>99.8%<\/td><\/tr> <tr><td>7<\/td><td>Ocean Bank<\/td><td>FL<\/td><td>$7.44B<\/td><td>$3.79B<\/td><td>51.0%<\/td><td>532%<\/td><td>0.22%<\/td><td>94.0%<\/td><\/tr> <tr><td>8<\/td><td>American Business Bank<\/td><td>CA<\/td><td>$4.41B<\/td><td>$2.19B<\/td><td>49.7%<\/td><td>472%<\/td><td>0.40%<\/td><td>76.2%<\/td><\/tr> <tr><td>9<\/td><td>Bankwell Bank<\/td><td>CT<\/td><td>$3.35B<\/td><td>$1.58B<\/td><td>47.0%<\/td><td>457%<\/td><td>0.58%<\/td><td>98.4%<\/td><\/tr> <tr><td>10<\/td><td>Habib American Bank<\/td><td>NY<\/td><td>$2.74B<\/td><td>$1.27B<\/td><td>46.3%<\/td><td>521%<\/td><td>1.14%<\/td><td>77.9%<\/td><\/tr> <\/tbody> <\/table> <p>That list alone tells an important story. This is not just a large-bank issue. Some of the heaviest concentrations sit in much smaller balance sheets, where the same amount of refinancing pressure can matter more because the institution has less diversification and less capital capacity to absorb prolonged weakness.<\/p> <h2>What The Ranking Actually Tells You<\/h2> <p>The first lesson is that concentration is still extreme at some banks. The top 25 in this screen averaged 48.0% of assets in the office-risk proxy category, nearly double the 24.3% average for the broader eligible universe. Their average proxy-to-capital ratio was also far higher, 455% versus 234%.<\/p> <p>The second lesson is that current credit stress does not always line up neatly with concentration. A few of the banks near the top still show low current NPL ratios. That does not mean the risk is gone. It means the balance-sheet vulnerability may still be more about future refinancing than current default recognition.<\/p> <p>The third lesson is that some names do show multiple warning signs at once. Banks with high nonfarm nonresidential concentration, elevated NPLs, tighter funding metrics, or weaker earnings deserve more scrutiny because the office maturity story becomes more dangerous when it is layered onto an already stressed operating profile.<\/p> <h2>How To Separate &ldquo;High Exposure&rdquo; From &ldquo;High Immediate Risk&rdquo;<\/h2> <h3>1. Compare concentration to capital<\/h3> <p>A large office-sensitive book matters most when it is large relative to capital. That is why proxy-to-capital and total CRE-to-capital are so useful. A bank can absorb a difficult refinance cycle more easily when concentration is moderate and capital is strong. It has much less room to maneuver when nonfarm nonresidential exposure is already several times capital.<\/p> <h3>2. Check stressed balances inside the proxy book<\/h3> <p>Current 90+ day past due and nonaccrual balances inside nonfarm nonresidential real estate do not replace maturity schedules, but they do show where stress is already surfacing. They help separate banks that are merely exposed from banks where deterioration may already be underway.<\/p> <h3>3. Watch funding and liquidity<\/h3> <p>A concentration problem is harder to manage when funding is already tight. Loans-to-deposits is one simple but useful screen here. Northeast Bank, for example, combines very high proxy concentration with a loans-to-deposits ratio above 113%. That does not prove distress, but it does reduce flexibility if management needs to work through a slower refinance cycle.<\/p> <h3>4. Look at earnings power<\/h3> <p>Earnings buy time. A profitable bank has more room to extend, restructure, reserve, or absorb losses than a bank already under profitability pressure. High concentration becomes more fragile when earnings are not strong enough to fund reserves, workouts, or incremental loss recognition.<\/p> <h2>What Bank Investors, Analysts, And Risk Teams Should Do Next<\/h2> <p>If you are screening bank counterparties, portfolio holdings, acquisition targets, or regional competitors, this ranking is the start of the work, not the end. The next step is to build a second-pass review around four questions.<\/p> <ul> <li>Is the bank&apos;s nonfarm nonresidential concentration high relative to peers and capital?<\/li> <li>Are delinquency and nonaccrual signals in the proxy book getting worse?<\/li> <li>Is funding stable enough to absorb a prolonged refinance cycle?<\/li> <li>Are earnings strong enough to handle restructurings or incremental loss recognition?<\/li> <\/ul> <p>For readers who want to replicate the screen, Banking Intelligence can shorten the work: use <a href='https:\/\/banking.deepdigitalventures.com\/'>Banks<\/a> for peer filters, <a href='https:\/\/banking.deepdigitalventures.com\/'>Early Warnings<\/a> for deterioration signals, <a href='https:\/\/banking.deepdigitalventures.com\/'>Alerts<\/a> for follow-up triggers, and <a href='https:\/\/banking.deepdigitalventures.com\/'>Loan Analysis<\/a> to see the schedules and source fields behind the screen.<\/p> <h2>Methodology<\/h2> <div class='ddv-methodology-box'> <p><strong>Data date:<\/strong> 2025-12-31. <strong>Last updated:<\/strong> 2026-04-24. <strong>Prepared by:<\/strong> Deep Digital Ventures Banking Intelligence, using FDIC-sourced Call Report data and bank analytics workflows.<\/p> <ul> <li><strong>Universe:<\/strong> active U.S. FDIC-sourced banks with under $10 billion in assets and at least $100 million in combined nonfarm nonresidential real estate loans at 2025-12-31.<\/li> <li><strong>Proxy:<\/strong> combined nonfarm nonresidential real estate loans, using Schedule RC-C, Part I, item 1.e.(1) owner-occupied and item 1.e.(2) other nonfarm nonresidential; domestic-office fields RCONF160 + RCONF161, with equivalent consolidated series where applicable.<sup>[2]<\/sup><sup>[3]<\/sup><\/li> <li><strong>Ranking formula:<\/strong> Proxy \/ Assets = combined nonfarm nonresidential real estate loans \/ total assets.<\/li> <li><strong>Capital formula:<\/strong> Proxy \/ Capital = combined nonfarm nonresidential real estate loans \/ total risk-based capital from Schedule RC-R, which makes the screen directionally comparable to CRE concentration guidance.<\/li> <li><strong>NPL Ratio:<\/strong> loans 90+ days past due and still accruing plus nonaccrual loans, divided by total loans and leases. In Call Report terms, that is Schedule RC-N item 9 column B plus item 9 column C, divided by Schedule RC-C item 12.<sup>[4]<\/sup><\/li> <li><strong>Funding metric:<\/strong> Loan \/ Deposit = total loans and leases \/ total deposits.<\/li> <\/ul> <\/div> <p>This article uses local Banking Intelligence U.S. Call Report data through 2025-12-31. Because U.S. Call Reports do not disclose office loans or office maturities as standalone fields, the ranking uses <strong>nonfarm nonresidential real estate loans<\/strong> as the best public office-risk proxy available.<\/p> <p>The supervisory anchors come from the 2006 <em>Interagency Guidance on CRE Concentrations<\/em>: construction and land development loans at 100% or more of total risk-based capital, or total CRE loans at 300% or more of total risk-based capital combined with CRE growth of 50% or more over the prior 36 months, can identify an institution for further supervisory analysis.<sup>[1]<\/sup> These are not hard lending caps. They are supervisory criteria for deciding where CRE concentration risk deserves more examination.<\/p> <p>Banks at the top of this ranking, where the office-risk proxy averages roughly <strong>455% of capital<\/strong> across the top 25, sit well above the 300% CRE concentration reference point. That comparison is imperfect because combined nonfarm nonresidential exposure is not the same as the OCC-defined total CRE measure, and the owner-occupied carve-out can lower the non-owner-occupied read. Still, public MBA and Trepp data point to a still-active maturity and refinance calendar into 2026, with office remaining one of the more stressed property types.<sup>[5]<\/sup><sup>[6]<\/sup><\/p> <p>The practical read is narrower than distress. Banks on this list are not automatically unsafe, and they are not automatically office-heavy. They are the names where concentration, maturity exposure, and capital capacity deserve the earliest follow-up.<\/p> <p>CRE maturities are not abstract anymore. They are a balance-sheet issue that will keep sorting banks by concentration, funding flexibility, and capital capacity. Office is still the hardest segment to underwrite confidently, but public data only gives an approximation of where that risk sits.<\/p> <p>That approximation is still valuable. Using nonfarm nonresidential real estate as the clearest public proxy, the banks above screen as the most office-sensitive names in the under-$10 billion U.S. bank universe at 2025 year-end. The point is not that every bank on this list is in immediate trouble. The point is that when maturities are the problem, concentration tells you where to look first.<\/p> <h2>FAQ<\/h2> <h3>Do Call Reports show office loans separately?<\/h3> <p>No. U.S. Call Reports do not break out office loans as a standalone category. The closest public proxy is nonfarm nonresidential real estate loans.<\/p> <h3>Why use nonfarm nonresidential real estate as the office-risk proxy?<\/h3> <p>Because office properties sit inside that broader category, and it is the most defensible public field available for large-scale screening across banks. The cleaner second-pass read is the non-owner-occupied sub-line, but the combined category is the broader public concentration screen.<\/p> <h3>Does a high concentration mean a bank is unsafe?<\/h3> <p>No. It means the bank appears more exposed to an office-sensitive CRE bucket than peers. You still need to assess capital, funding, earnings, actual credit trends, and the property mix inside the nonfarm nonresidential book.<\/p> <h3>Why rank by proxy-to-assets instead of absolute dollars?<\/h3> <p>Absolute dollars tell you who is large. Exposure as a share of assets tells you who is concentrated. For refinance-cycle vulnerability, concentration is usually the better first-pass screen.<\/p> <h3>What is the fastest next step after this screen?<\/h3> <p>Take the names that concern you most and review proxy-to-capital, current stress signals, loans-to-deposits, earnings trends, and the owner-occupied versus non-owner-occupied split before moving into deeper diligence.<\/p> <!-- ddv-source-append:start -->  <h2 class='wp-block-heading'>Sources<\/h2>   <ol class='wp-block-list'> <li>OCC, Interagency Guidance on CRE Concentration Risk Management \u2014 <a href='https:\/\/www.occ.gov\/news-issuances\/bulletins\/2006\/bulletin-2006-46.html'>https:\/\/www.occ.gov\/news-issuances\/bulletins\/2006\/bulletin-2006-46.html<\/a><\/li> <li>Federal Reserve MDRM, Call Report field F160 for owner-occupied nonfarm nonresidential loans \u2014 <a href='https:\/\/www.federalreserve.gov\/apps\/mdrm\/data-dictionary\/search\/item?date_end=99991231&amp;date_start=99991231&amp;keyword=F160&amp;rep_period=Before&amp;rep_state=Opened&amp;rep_status=All&amp;show_conf=False&amp;show_short_title=False'>https:\/\/www.federalreserve.gov\/apps\/mdrm\/data-dictionary\/search\/item?keyword=F160<\/a><\/li> <li>Federal Reserve MDRM, Call Report field F161 for other nonfarm nonresidential loans \u2014 <a href='https:\/\/www.federalreserve.gov\/apps\/mdrm\/data-dictionary\/search\/item?date_end=99991231&amp;date_start=99991231&amp;keyword=F161&amp;rep_period=Before&amp;rep_state=Opened&amp;rep_status=All&amp;show_conf=False&amp;show_short_title=False'>https:\/\/www.federalreserve.gov\/apps\/mdrm\/data-dictionary\/search\/item?keyword=F161<\/a><\/li> <li>FDIC\/FFIEC, Schedule RC-N past due and nonaccrual instructions \u2014 <a href='https:\/\/www.fdic.gov\/system\/files\/2024-08\/2023-09-051-rc-n.pdf'>https:\/\/www.fdic.gov\/system\/files\/2024-08\/2023-09-051-rc-n.pdf<\/a><\/li> <li>MBA, 20 Percent of Commercial and Multifamily Mortgage Balances Mature in 2025 \u2014 <a href='https:\/\/www.mba.org\/news-and-research\/newsroom\/news\/2025\/02\/10\/20-percent-of-commercial-and-multifamily-mortgage-balances-mature-in-2025'>https:\/\/www.mba.org\/news-and-research\/newsroom\/news\/2025\/02\/10\/20-percent-of-commercial-and-multifamily-mortgage-balances-mature-in-2025<\/a><\/li> <li>Trepp, March 2026 CMBS Hard Maturities Show Contained Stress, Led by Mixed-Use, Retail, and Office Exposure \u2014 <a href='https:\/\/www.trepp.com\/trepptalk\/tbc-cmbs-hard-maturity-blog'>https:\/\/www.trepp.com\/trepptalk\/tbc-cmbs-hard-maturity-blog<\/a><\/li> <li>NBER, Monetary Tightening, Commercial Real Estate Distress, and U.S. Bank Fragility \u2014 <a href='https:\/\/www.nber.org\/papers\/w31970'>https:\/\/www.nber.org\/papers\/w31970<\/a><\/li> <\/ol>  <!-- ddv-source-append:end -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Office loan maturities remain one of the biggest unresolved stress points in commercial real estate, but U.S. Call Reports do not disclose office balances as a standalone line item. Using the latest local Banking Intelligence coverage date of 2025-12-31, this article ranks banks by the best public proxy available, nonfarm nonresidential real estate loans, to show which institutions appear most exposed to office-related refinance risk before deeper loan-level diligence.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":1040,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_seopress_robots_primary_cat":"","_seopress_titles_title":"CRE Maturities: Banks Screening Highest on the Office-Risk Proxy","_seopress_titles_desc":"Proxy-based ranking of under $10B U.S. banks by nonfarm nonresidential CRE concentration using FDIC Call Report data as of Dec. 31, 2025.","_seopress_robots_index":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-454","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-industry-analysis"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/banking.deepdigitalventures.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/454","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/banking.deepdigitalventures.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/banking.deepdigitalventures.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/banking.deepdigitalventures.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/banking.deepdigitalventures.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=454"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/banking.deepdigitalventures.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/454\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2144,"href":"https:\/\/banking.deepdigitalventures.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/454\/revisions\/2144"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/banking.deepdigitalventures.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1040"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/banking.deepdigitalventures.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=454"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/banking.deepdigitalventures.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=454"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/banking.deepdigitalventures.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=454"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}